Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ENRIQUE-21 in Mexico from 25 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC to 29 Jun 2021 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21

in Mexico

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	148 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (30 Jun 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)
Landfall	between 30 Jun 2021 00:00 - 30 Jun 2021 12:00 in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	93 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	148 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

93 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1.5 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 09:00	139	20 thousand	No people	Mexico
2	25 Jun 2021 15:00	157	440 thousand	No people	Mexico
3	25 Jun 2021 21:00	157	80 thousand	No people	Mexico
4	26 Jun 2021 03:00	176	290 thousand	No people	Mexico
5	26 Jun 2021 09:00	176	450 thousand	No people	Mexico
6	26 Jun 2021 15:00	176	650 thousand	No people	Mexico
7	26 Jun 2021 21:00	148	570 thousand	No people	Mexico
8	27 Jun 2021 03:00	148	360 thousand	No people	Mexico
9	27 Jun 2021 09:00	157	400 thousand	No people	Mexico
10	27 Jun 2021 15:00	157	870 thousand	No people	Mexico
11	27 Jun 2021 21:00	148	1.5 million	No people	Mexico
12	28 Jun 2021 03:00	148	1.5 million	No people	Mexico
13	28 Jun 2021 09:00	148	1.5 million	No people	Mexico
14	28 Jun 2021 15:00	139	1.5 million	No people	Mexico
15	28 Jun 2021 21:00	111	1.3 million	No people	Mexico
16	29 Jun 2021 03:00	93	1.5 million	No people	Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	15, -101.7
2	25 Jun 2021 15:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	15.6, -102.5
3	25 Jun 2021 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.9, -103.3
4	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	16.3, -104.1
5	26 Jun 2021 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	<1000 people	16.7, -104.7
6	26 Jun 2021 15:00	Category 1	139	no people	460000 people	17.1, -105.3
7	26 Jun 2021 21:00	Category 1	139	no people	260000 people	17.3, -105.9
8	27 Jun 2021 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	28000 people	17.3, -105.9
9	27 Jun 2021 09:00	Category 1	148	no people	89000 people	17.6, -106
10	27 Jun 2021 15:00	Category 1	148	no people	300000 people	18.2, -105.9
11	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Category 1	148	no people	850000 people	19, -105.7
12	28 Jun 2021 03:00	Category 1	148	no people	650000 people	19.6, -106
13	28 Jun 2021 09:00	Category 1	148	no people	540000 people	20, -106.3
14	28 Jun 2021 15:00	Category 1	139	no people	41000 people	20.4, -106.7
15	28 Jun 2021 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	6400 people	20.7, -107.3
16	29 Jun 2021 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	6300 people	21.1, -107.4
16	29 Jun 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	1200 people	21.7, -108
16	30 Jun 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	560000 people	22.6, -108.9
16	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	23.6, -109.9	Mexico
16	01 Jul 2021 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	24.5, -111	Mexico
16	01 Jul 2021 12:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	25, -112	Mexico

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Nayarit	Mexico
Jalisco	Mexico
Baja California Sur	Mexico
Colima	Mexico

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Punta Mita	Nayarit	Mexico	City	-
Puerto Vallarta	Jalisco	Mexico	City	190000 people
Talpa de Allende	Jalisco	Mexico	City	-
Autlán	Jalisco	Mexico	City	40000 people
Manzanillo	Colima	Mexico	City	110000 people
La Paz	Baja California Sur	Mexico	Major city	170000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Isla Maria Madre		5				0
El Llano		12				0
Lic Gustavo Diaz Ordaz International	PVR	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10100
La Gloria		34				0
Los Cabos International	SJD	109	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
Cabo San Lucas		139				0
Punta Colorada	PCO	unknown				0
Autlan		884				0
Playa de Oro International	ZLO	8	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7200
Punta Pescadero		7				0
Leon	LAP	21	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200
La Paz		26				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Ipala		Mexico
Puerto Vallarta	MXPVR	Mexico
El Tabaco		Mexico
Chamela		Mexico
San Hose Del Cabo		Mexico
San Lucas		Mexico
Buenavista		Mexico
Manzanillo	MXZLO	Mexico
La Paz		Mexico

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Cajon de Peda	Tomatlan	1976
	Corrinchis	Mascota	1977

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Cardoncito, Mexico. This height is estimated for 30 Jun 2021 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (80 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 16 of 29 Jun 2021 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	30 Jun 2021 07:00	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 15:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2021 07:00	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Lagarto	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Santa Maria Xandani	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Union Hidalgo	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Chicapa	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	San Dionisio del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 01:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 06:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 09:00	Ipala	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 23:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 23:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 15:00	Palacios	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 22:00	Intracoastal City	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 23:00	Chamela	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 02:00	Chola	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 09:00	Corrales	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 09:00	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 23:00	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 23:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 23:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 23:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 23:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 07:00	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Flake	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Elmgrove	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Crystal Beach	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Patton	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Bolivar Peninsula	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Caplen	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Gilchrist	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Nadeau	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Texas City Junction	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Bayou Vista	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Texas City	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Anderson Ways	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Virginia Point	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Galveston	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Port Bolivar	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Fort Travis	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Cachimba	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 15:00	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 22:00	Cheniere Au Tigre	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 13:00	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Maruata	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Las Trojitas	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Chula	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Estrecho	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 00:00	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 03:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 09:00	Pizota	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 22:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 06:00	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 07:00	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 17:00	High Island	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Jamaica Beach	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 17:00	Johnson's Bayou	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 17:00	Constance Beach	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 17:00	Peveto Beach	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 17:00	Holly Beach	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 17:00	Cameron	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 00:00	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Huajapan	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	El Roble	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 01:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 19:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.